2023 Week 6 · Oct 8, 2023, 12:00 AM · McLane Stadium
Texas Tech @ Baylor
Predicted scoreToss-up
Texas Tech
30.3
Baylor
27.3
Baylor win probability: 43%
Margin (Baylor − Texas Tech): -3.1 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 57.6 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Texas Tech 39 – Baylor 14 (margin error 21.9, total error 4.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.58% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.