2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 10:30 PM · Mountain America Stadium

Colorado @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Colorado

26.2

Arizona State

26.1

Arizona State win probability: 50%

Margin (Arizona State − Colorado): -0.1 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 52.3 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Colorado 27 – Arizona State 24 (margin error 2.9, total error 1.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.