2023 Week 6 · Oct 7, 2023, 8:00 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Vanderbilt @ Florida

Predicted scoreConfident

Vanderbilt

18.7

Florida

36.2

Florida win probability: 86%

Margin (Florida − Vanderbilt): 17.6 (80% range -3 to 38)

Total: 54.9 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Vanderbilt 14 – Florida 38 (margin error 6.4, total error 2.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.