Predicted scoreToss-up
LSU
32.1
Missouri
29.6
Missouri win probability: 44%
Margin (Missouri − LSU): -2.5 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 61.7 (80% range 37 to 88)
Actual: LSU 49 – Missouri 39 (margin error 7.5, total error 26.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.55% |
| 31 | 38 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.