2023 Week 6 · Oct 6, 2023, 11:30 PM · Boone Pickens Stadium

Kansas State @ Oklahoma State

Predicted scoreLean

Kansas State

31.9

Oklahoma State

25.4

Oklahoma State win probability: 35%

Margin (Oklahoma State − Kansas State): -6.5 (80% range -28 to 14)

Total: 57.3 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Kansas State 21 – Oklahoma State 29 (margin error 14.5, total error 7.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.