2023 Week 5 · Sep 30, 2023, 11:00 PM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia Southern
Predicted scoreToss-up
Coastal Carolina
27.7
Georgia Southern
27.4
Georgia Southern win probability: 49%
Margin (Georgia Southern − Coastal Carolina): -0.3 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 55.1 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: Coastal Carolina 28 – Georgia Southern 38 (margin error 10.3, total error 10.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.71% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:40:58 PM | -0.3 | 55.1 | 49% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:39 PM | -0.3 | 55.1 | 49% |