Predicted scoreLean
LSU
28.2
Ole Miss
34.3
Ole Miss win probability: 64%
Margin (Ole Miss − LSU): 6.1 (80% range -15 to 28)
Total: 62.5 (80% range 38 to 90)
Actual: LSU 49 – Ole Miss 55 (margin error 0.1, total error 41.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:09 PM | 6.1 | 62.5 | 64% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:37 PM | 6.1 | 62.5 | 64% |