Predicted scoreConfident
Georgia
31.2
Auburn
14.8
Auburn win probability: 14%
Margin (Auburn − Georgia): -16.5 (80% range -35 to 3)
Total: 46.0 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: Georgia 27 – Auburn 20 (margin error 9.5, total error 1.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 7 | 1.00% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.90% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.89% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.86% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/12/2026, 9:41:08 PM | -16.5 | 46.0 | 14% |
| 8/13/2026, 3:13:35 PM | -16.5 | 46.0 | 14% |