2023 Week 4 · Sep 24, 2023, 2:30 AM · Husky Stadium
California @ Washington
Predicted scoreLikely
California
17.3
Washington
32.7
Washington win probability: 84%
Margin (Washington − California): 15.5 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 50.0 (80% range 28 to 73)
Actual: California 32 – Washington 59 (margin error 11.5, total error 41.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 28 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.76% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.72% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.