2024 Postseason · Dec 26, 2024, 10:30 PM · Chase Field (neutral site)

Rutgers @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreConfident

Rutgers

16.9

Kansas State

33.4

Kansas State win probability: 86%

Margin (Kansas State − Rutgers): 16.6 (80% range -3 to 37)

Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Rutgers 41 – Kansas State 44 (margin error 13.6, total error 34.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.