2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 11:00 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

Charlotte @ Florida

Predicted scoreConfident

Charlotte

13.9

Florida

42.1

Florida win probability: 96%

Margin (Florida − Charlotte): 28.2 (80% range 7 to 49)

Total: 56.0 (80% range 34 to 80)

Actual: Charlotte 7 – Florida 22 (margin error 13.2, total error 27.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.