2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 11:00 PM · Gesa Field
Oregon State @ Washington State
Predicted scoreLean
Oregon State
26.0
Washington State
30.7
Washington State win probability: 61%
Margin (Washington State − Oregon State): 4.6 (80% range -16 to 25)
Total: 56.7 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Oregon State 35 – Washington State 38 (margin error 1.6, total error 16.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.57% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.