2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 7:30 PM · Milan Puskar Stadium

Texas Tech @ West Virginia

Predicted scoreToss-up

Texas Tech

26.6

West Virginia

30.3

West Virginia win probability: 59%

Margin (West Virginia − Texas Tech): 3.7 (80% range -17 to 25)

Total: 56.9 (80% range 34 to 82)

Actual: Texas Tech 13 – West Virginia 20 (margin error 3.3, total error 23.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.