2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 7:30 PM · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)

Louisiana Tech @ Nebraska

Predicted scoreLikely

Louisiana Tech

18.6

Nebraska

35.2

Nebraska win probability: 85%

Margin (Nebraska − Louisiana Tech): 16.7 (80% range -4 to 38)

Total: 53.8 (80% range 31 to 78)

Actual: Louisiana Tech 14 – Nebraska 28 (margin error 2.7, total error 11.8)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.