Predicted scoreToss-up
BYU
32.1
Kansas
29.4
Kansas win probability: 44%
Margin (Kansas − BYU): -2.7 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 61.5 (80% range 37 to 87)
Actual: BYU 27 – Kansas 38 (margin error 13.7, total error 3.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.60% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.57% |
| 38 | 31 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.