Predicted scoreLean
UCLA
22.3
Utah
30.5
Utah win probability: 69%
Margin (Utah − UCLA): 8.1 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: UCLA 7 – Utah 14 (margin error 1.1, total error 31.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.