2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 4:00 PM · Nippert Stadium
Oklahoma @ Cincinnati
Predicted scoreLikely
Oklahoma
33.6
Cincinnati
23.8
Cincinnati win probability: 27%
Margin (Cincinnati − Oklahoma): -9.8 (80% range -31 to 11)
Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Oklahoma 20 – Cincinnati 6 (margin error 4.2, total error 31.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 28 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.