Predicted scoreConfident
UTEP
17.3
Arizona
39.0
Arizona win probability: 91%
Margin (Arizona − UTEP): 21.7 (80% range 1 to 42)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: UTEP 10 – Arizona 31 (margin error 0.7, total error 15.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 35 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.