Predicted scoreLikely
Clemson
19.8
Texas
31.0
Texas win probability: 76%
Margin (Texas − Clemson): 11.2 (80% range -9 to 31)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Clemson 24 – Texas 38 (margin error 2.8, total error 11.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.