2023 Week 3 · Sep 17, 2023, 2:00 AM · Folsom Field
Colorado State @ Colorado
Predicted scoreLikely
Colorado State
18.2
Colorado
32.5
Colorado win probability: 82%
Margin (Colorado − Colorado State): 14.3 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Actual: Colorado State 35 – Colorado 43 (margin error 6.3, total error 27.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.71% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.