2024 Postseason · Dec 20, 2024, 8:30 PM · Raymond James Stadium (neutral site)

Tulane @ Florida

Predicted scoreLean

Tulane

24.5

Florida

30.2

Florida win probability: 64%

Margin (Florida − Tulane): 5.7 (80% range -14 to 26)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Tulane 8 – Florida 33 (margin error 19.3, total error 13.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.