2023 Week 2 · Sep 10, 2023, 2:30 AM · Mountain America Stadium

Oklahoma State @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Oklahoma State

29.5

Arizona State

28.9

Arizona State win probability: 49%

Margin (Arizona State − Oklahoma State): -0.6 (80% range -21 to 21)

Total: 58.4 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Oklahoma State 27 – Arizona State 15 (margin error 11.4, total error 16.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.