2023 Week 2 · Sep 10, 2023, 2:30 AM · California Memorial Stadium

Auburn @ California

Predicted scoreToss-up

Auburn

25.7

California

23.3

California win probability: 44%

Margin (California − Auburn): -2.4 (80% range -22 to 17)

Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)

Actual: Auburn 14 – California 10 (margin error 1.6, total error 24.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.