Predicted scoreLean
Ole Miss
32.7
Tulane
25.1
Tulane win probability: 32%
Margin (Tulane − Ole Miss): -7.6 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Ole Miss 37 – Tulane 20 (margin error 9.4, total error 0.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 17 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.