Predicted scoreLean
Utah
29.5
Baylor
24.6
Baylor win probability: 38%
Margin (Baylor − Utah): -4.9 (80% range -25 to 15)
Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)
Actual: Utah 20 – Baylor 13 (margin error 2.1, total error 21.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.