2023 Week 1 · Sep 3, 2023, 2:30 AM · Rose Bowl
Coastal Carolina @ UCLA
Predicted scoreLikely
Coastal Carolina
21.2
UCLA
36.3
UCLA win probability: 83%
Margin (UCLA − Coastal Carolina): 15.1 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 57.5 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Coastal Carolina 13 – UCLA 27 (margin error 1.1, total error 17.5)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.