2024 Week 15 · Dec 7, 2024, 9:00 PM · Mercedes-Benz Stadium (neutral site)

Georgia @ Texas

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia

24.8

Texas

26.4

Texas win probability: 54%

Margin (Texas − Georgia): 1.6 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 75)

Actual: Georgia 22 – Texas 19 (margin error 4.6, total error 10.2)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.