Predicted scoreLikely
Florida
20.9
Utah
32.7
Utah win probability: 77%
Margin (Utah − Florida): 11.8 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 53.7 (80% range 31 to 78)
Actual: Florida 11 – Utah 24 (margin error 1.2, total error 18.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.