Predicted scoreToss-up
Oklahoma
24.9
LSU
27.0
LSU win probability: 55%
Margin (LSU − Oklahoma): 2.1 (80% range -18 to 22)
Total: 51.9 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Oklahoma 17 – LSU 37 (margin error 17.9, total error 2.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.