Predicted scoreLean
Miami
35.8
Syracuse
29.3
Syracuse win probability: 35%
Margin (Syracuse − Miami): -6.5 (80% range -28 to 15)
Total: 65.1 (80% range 40 to 92)
Actual: Miami 38 – Syracuse 42 (margin error 10.5, total error 14.9)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 38 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 31 | 28 | 0.54% |
| 38 | 31 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.