2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:30 PM · Arizona Stadium
Arizona State @ Arizona
Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona State
30.5
Arizona
27.2
Arizona win probability: 42%
Margin (Arizona − Arizona State): -3.3 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 57.7 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Arizona State 49 – Arizona 7 (margin error 38.7, total error 1.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.62% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.