2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 8:00 PM · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)

Pittsburgh @ Boston College

Predicted scoreToss-up

Pittsburgh

23.9

Boston College

26.0

Boston College win probability: 55%

Margin (Boston College − Pittsburgh): 2.1 (80% range -18 to 21)

Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 73)

Actual: Pittsburgh 23 – Boston College 34 (margin error 8.9, total error 7.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.