2024 Week 14 · Nov 30, 2024, 5:00 PM · Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium

UConn @ Massachusetts

Predicted scoreLikely

UConn

31.3

Massachusetts

21.1

Massachusetts win probability: 26%

Margin (Massachusetts − UConn): -10.1 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 52.4 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: UConn 47 – Massachusetts 42 (margin error 5.1, total error 36.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.