2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 8:30 PM · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium

Mississippi State @ Ole Miss

Predicted scoreConfident

Mississippi State

20.1

Ole Miss

39.3

Ole Miss win probability: 88%

Margin (Ole Miss − Mississippi State): 19.3 (80% range -1 to 41)

Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 85)

Actual: Mississippi State 14 – Ole Miss 26 (margin error 7.3, total error 19.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.