2024 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2024, 5:00 PM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Miami (OH) @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreToss-up

Miami (OH)

24.2

Bowling Green

22.8

Bowling Green win probability: 46%

Margin (Bowling Green − Miami (OH)): -1.4 (80% range -21 to 18)

Total: 46.9 (80% range 24 to 69)

Actual: Miami (OH) 28 – Bowling Green 12 (margin error 14.6, total error 6.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.