2024 Week 13 · Nov 24, 2024, 1:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Cincinnati @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLean

Cincinnati

22.6

Kansas State

30.8

Kansas State win probability: 70%

Margin (Kansas State − Cincinnati): 8.3 (80% range -11 to 28)

Total: 53.4 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Cincinnati 15 – Kansas State 41 (margin error 17.7, total error 2.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.