2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 9:15 PM · Davis Wade Stadium

Missouri @ Mississippi State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Missouri

30.5

Mississippi State

27.5

Mississippi State win probability: 43%

Margin (Mississippi State − Missouri): -3.0 (80% range -24 to 18)

Total: 58.0 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Missouri 39 – Mississippi State 20 (margin error 16.0, total error 1.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.