2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 8:30 PM · Mountain America Stadium

BYU @ Arizona State

Predicted scoreToss-up

BYU

25.6

Arizona State

26.0

Arizona State win probability: 51%

Margin (Arizona State − BYU): 0.4 (80% range -20 to 21)

Total: 51.6 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: BYU 23 – Arizona State 28 (margin error 4.6, total error 0.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.