2024 Week 13 · Nov 23, 2024, 5:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Indiana @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreLikely
Indiana
22.3
Ohio State
37.1
Ohio State win probability: 82%
Margin (Ohio State − Indiana): 14.8 (80% range -7 to 36)
Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 86)
Actual: Indiana 15 – Ohio State 38 (margin error 8.2, total error 6.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.57% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.