Predicted scoreLean
UConn
22.7
Syracuse
30.3
Syracuse win probability: 68%
Margin (Syracuse − UConn): 7.5 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 53.0 (80% range 30 to 77)
Actual: UConn 24 – Syracuse 31 (margin error 0.5, total error 2.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.63% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.