2024 Week 12 · Nov 17, 2024, 12:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium

Arizona State @ Kansas State

Predicted scoreLean

Arizona State

23.7

Kansas State

31.5

Kansas State win probability: 69%

Margin (Kansas State − Arizona State): 7.8 (80% range -13 to 28)

Total: 55.3 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: Arizona State 24 – Kansas State 14 (margin error 17.8, total error 17.3)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.