Predicted scoreLean
Rutgers
26.6
Maryland
31.1
Maryland win probability: 61%
Margin (Maryland − Rutgers): 4.5 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 57.8 (80% range 34 to 83)
Actual: Rutgers 31 – Maryland 17 (margin error 18.5, total error 9.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 28 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.56% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.