2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:30 PM · Ben Hill Griffin Stadium

LSU @ Florida

Predicted scoreToss-up

LSU

28.9

Florida

26.5

Florida win probability: 44%

Margin (Florida − LSU): -2.3 (80% range -23 to 18)

Total: 55.4 (80% range 31 to 80)

Actual: LSU 16 – Florida 27 (margin error 13.3, total error 12.4)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.