2024 Week 12 · Nov 16, 2024, 8:00 PM · California Memorial Stadium

Syracuse @ California

Predicted scoreToss-up

Syracuse

27.2

California

30.2

California win probability: 57%

Margin (California − Syracuse): 3.0 (80% range -18 to 24)

Total: 57.4 (80% range 34 to 83)

Actual: Syracuse 33 – California 25 (margin error 11.0, total error 0.6)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.