Predicted scoreLikely
UL Monroe
16.9
Auburn
29.1
Auburn win probability: 79%
Margin (Auburn − UL Monroe): 12.2 (80% range -7 to 31)
Total: 46.0 (80% range 24 to 69)
Actual: UL Monroe 14 – Auburn 48 (margin error 21.8, total error 16.0)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.77% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.