2024 Week 12 · Nov 13, 2024, 12:00 AM · Doyt L. Perry Stadium

Western Michigan @ Bowling Green

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Michigan

26.1

Bowling Green

28.7

Bowling Green win probability: 56%

Margin (Bowling Green − Western Michigan): 2.6 (80% range -18 to 23)

Total: 54.7 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Western Michigan 13 – Bowling Green 31 (margin error 15.4, total error 10.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.