Predicted scoreLean
BYU
23.3
Utah
18.6
Utah win probability: 38%
Margin (Utah − BYU): -4.7 (80% range -24 to 14)
Total: 41.9 (80% range 21 to 63)
Actual: BYU 22 – Utah 21 (margin error 3.7, total error 1.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 14 | 0.87% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.83% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.83% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.81% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.