Predicted scoreToss-up
Oklahoma
24.8
Missouri
26.9
Missouri win probability: 56%
Margin (Missouri − Oklahoma): 2.1 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.7 (80% range 29 to 76)
Actual: Oklahoma 23 – Missouri 30 (margin error 4.9, total error 1.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.