2024 Week 11 · Nov 9, 2024, 9:00 PM · Sun Bowl
Kennesaw State @ UTEP
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kennesaw State
20.9
UTEP
23.7
UTEP win probability: 58%
Margin (UTEP − Kennesaw State): 2.8 (80% range -17 to 21)
Total: 44.7 (80% range 24 to 66)
Actual: Kennesaw State 35 – UTEP 43 (margin error 5.2, total error 33.3)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.94% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.84% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.84% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.83% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.83% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.