Predicted scoreLikely
Baylor
18.3
Utah
33.4
Utah win probability: 83%
Margin (Utah − Baylor): 15.1 (80% range -4 to 35)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Baylor 12 – Utah 23 (margin error 4.1, total error 16.6)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | 31 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.